Collapse of complex societies
In today’s globalised economy, imports and exports account for 40-60% of most nations’ GDP, so nearly every country has integrated into the world economy. That may change if the world economy collapses. A possible cause is a sudden loss of confidence in the US dollar, which is the world’s reserve and trade currency. A collapse of the world economy may trigger a reduction in complexity, commonly referred to as the collapse of world civilisation. Such a scenario is plausible, so it is prudent to plan for it. Perhaps, we can rebuild our civilisation with local initiatives. Usually, a collapse is involuntary. Things fall apart, not because we want to, but because we can’t afford our lifestyles anymore.
In his book ‘The Collapse of Complex Societies,’ Joseph Tainter argues that collapse is a sudden loss of complexity, and that collapses occur because the cost of complexity outstrips its benefits, leaving us better off with simpler lives. If you can’t afford food, life can be better without mortgages, taxes, medical bills, tuition, and most other things you buy, if it means you have something to eat. It is not that housing, government, education, and businesses have no use. After all, complexity solves problems. We could do with less, accept life as it is, and lead agreeable lives without social media and new treatments for cancer. It may seem disagreeable, but the Amish are content with such a lifestyle.
If we simplify the organisation of society, communities and families take on a greater role at the expense of markets and states. Village life in the past was far from ideal. Abusive parents could often do as they pleased and get away with it. And if you were gay, you had better not tell. Today, the idea of community has changed. You can set up a community with like-minded people. And there has been some progress in how much diversity people accept. Simplification means that states and markets retreat, even though the degree to which they will is unknown at present. Ideally, self-sufficiency and widely agreed-upon moral values will fill the void, while we will not return to the dark ages.
Perhaps we can learn to live in harmony with one another and with nature. That requires us to break free from the stranglehold of usury and trade. Local money enabled Wörgl to achieve some economic independence by keeping the money circulating within the local economy and encouraging townspeople to buy local products. When you use regular money, such as the euro, you can buy on international markets. If you do, the money will leave the community and may end up anywhere. You don’t know what your money will do there. It might facilitate drug trades or child labour. If you don’t care, don’t expect the market to, because the market is like a psychopath that might come for you.
Breaking free from markets
Thousands of local and regional vouchers circulate, but few were as successful as the Wörgl scrip. One notable exception was the Red Global de Clubes de Trueque (Global Network of Barter Clubs) during the Argentine Great Depression of 1998-2002. It was an even more spectacular success. The network emerged from local initiatives following the collapse of the Argentine banking system, enabling millions to exchange goods and services using local vouchers called créditos. Argentinians lacked a reliable medium of exchange, so barter clubs, which had initially been a lifeline for the unemployed, eventually helped middle-class people, many businesses, and some factories.
You can see the role of usury and international trade and finance in these crises. In Wörgl, a holding fee on money brought the local economy back to life, indicating that the global economy required negative interest rates, which were impossible in a usury-based financial system. To maintain a stable currency for their payments, the Argentinians could have borrowed US dollars in global markets. Due to Argentina’s creditworthiness, it could only do so at a high interest rate, which would have further eroded the country’s finances. The Argentinians would have used these US dollars to purchase foreign goods on international markets, leaving them without a means of payment again soon.
Had Argentina been a closed economy that had bartered with the outside world, the crisis wouldn’t have materialised. That is only hard to carry out. Traders would smuggle marketable goods in and out of the country. Only a few totalitarian regimes, like Nazi Germany and North Korea, have succeeded in doing this. These aren’t agreeable places. Still, it explains why these barter clubs were so successful. And it partly explains the economic miracle of Nazi Germany. The Argentinians participating in the barter clubs had nothing to offer to international markets. Or, they supported the clubs to help their communities and were willing to forego better deals available in global markets.
Limitations
Amid a worsening depression, the Wörgl economy improved, and unemployment dropped. Wörgl achieved this by breaking free from the usury financial system and world markets. The Argentinian network of barter clubs also did. And there lies a significant issue. Modern economies utilise goods and services that require a scale that only larger markets or global initiatives can provide. One of them is finance. It is probably impossible to develop financial markets for local scrip, let alone make them usury-free. The options for spreading risks in small markets are limited. The day you can go to the bank to get a mortgage in local scrip may never come.
The local initiatives were also successful because of an emergency. There was no reliable medium of exchange. The Argentinian barter vouchers weren’t legal tender and had no backing of a national currency. Millions of people joined the network, but it declined after 2001. The network had no organised structure. There were thousands of barter clubs in the network, each with its own notes. The clubs accepted each other’s vouchers, so some clubs committed fraud by printing additional vouchers. The Argentinian economy recovered in 2002, so the need for the barter clubs also diminished.
Whether the local or regional money is a currency or a voucher depends on the setup. An exchangeable government currency inspires trust. Most initiatives issue vouchers, but some have a currency reserve backing them. Most are private, and the money is hardly ever legal tender. Typically, these initiatives have a specific goal, such as strengthening the local community or economy. The money issued by the Austrian town of Wörgl was as close to a currency as local money can get. A government issued it, accepted it for tax payments, and guaranteed the exchange rate with the regular currency.
The Wörgl scrip and the Argentinian barter clubs demonstrate that local currencies and vouchers can succeed in times of crisis when the circular money flows have collapsed, either due to deflation (leading people to hoard money) or inflation (making the country’s currency worthless). It is also possible to integrate these local economies into a larger economy through these monetary exchanges. However, when the economy is doing well and the circular flows are functioning, the role of these monies becomes marginal. And so, they complement the regular financial system and are complementary currencies.
If you can receive internationally accepted currency, such as euros, you prefer it to barter vouchers because it inspires more trust. In times of crisis, you may be willing to take less trustworthy money if that is the only one available. It will be impossible to have a global network of local vouchers. Money operates in a hierarchy of trust. Exchangeability in a regular currency makes them more trustworthy. Imagine that there are 1,000,000 barter clubs issuing vouchers worldwide. How can you know that a note is genuine, and, if so, that the club issuing it is not scamming the system? And so, a voucher or currency can best only circulate in the area where everyone knows it.
Credit means trust, and as a Dutch proverb says, trust comes on foot and leaves on horseback. It is hard to build, but easy to lose. There are always individuals trying to scam the system. The human desire to live off the work of others is eternal. It is the foundation of capitalism, as it is what investors seek to do. And people try to use the government for their gain by demanding benefits, favourable regulations, or lower taxes. It is also a reason why trade and usury exist, not the only one, of course, but it is good to keep this in mind. The Greek god of the merchants was also the god of the thieves. It is a cynical view, as most people are honest, but systems of trust are as strong as their weakest link.
A local economy typically offers fewer choices and often poorer-quality products than international markets. You may accept these drawbacks to support your local community, since the best deal in the market may not be the best deal for your village or country. Walmart might be cheaper and offer a wider variety of choices, but buying at Walmart comes at the expense of local stores, factories, and suppliers, so that if you buy at Walmart, your sister or neighbour ends up unemployed and must move to the city to find a telesales job in the bullshit economy.
Making it work
Imagine that everyone does something helpful rather than wasting energy and resources in the bullshit economy, that no one is on the dole, and that people with limited abilities contribute what they can. Imagine that we respect nature and that the economy is sustainable. That might be possible after ending the stranglehold of usury and markets. In that case, we may work only twenty hours per week, have enough to live on, and can do as we please for the remainder of our time. Okay, we can’t visit Disney World, watch Formula 1, or ruin the planet with other senseless, wasteful activities, so we must entertain ourselves with other things, like playing football or singing in a choir. For the rest, we may have to rely on a trustworthy friend named Boredom to pass our time.
The ground is hard
The time is long
Life plods along
Its leaden way
There’s work to do
There’s time for play
But mostly, there’s
A lot of boredomYet, viewed from
The other side—
The little village
In the rigid land,
A sanctuary
Wrapped in snow—
It brings to mind
A different ageDrs. P, Winterdorp
Since 1934, Switzerland has been home to a business-to-business barter cooperative, WIR, which issues credit, the WIR franc backed by assets the members have pledged in collateral. Businesses trade goods and services without using cash, allowing them to work with less financial capital, clear excess inventory, and build new business relationships. Today, the WIR, like any other banking cooperative, looks like a traditional bank. That is mainly due to market pressures. A cooperative must offer a competitive product and deal with credit risk. Otherwise, cooperative members are often better off in the market. The United States has several barter organisations with varying credibility. Most are for-profit, so serving a community is not their primary objective.
Another scheme that can strengthen the local community is the Farmer-Citizens Initiative, also known as the Pergola Association. The market for agricultural produce is competitive, subjecting farmers to international finance and global markets. That is why immigrants often take these jobs and work long hours for low wages. Farmer-citizens’ initiatives have varying setups. Usually, citizens pay a subscription fee to cover the farm’s expenses in exchange for a share of the produce. It enables farms to diversify and offer a broader range of food products. Rather than exploiting immigrants, farmers may hire local workers to do chores at fair wages. The transactions can be in local scrip.
That might seem impossible, but community economics can be highly efficient because in ‘advanced’ economies, 75% of the people may now work in bullshit jobs. In contrast, in ‘developing’ economies, many live in slums wasting their time or doing bullshit jobs that pay little. People who produce the things we need keep them alive, either by buying unnecessary products and services or paying taxes. Things could be better if there were no IT specialists, salespeople, lawyers, actresses, financial advisors, and, most notably, traders, as they organise the competition that makes it hard to earn a living wage doing essential jobs at a reasonable pace.
Trade drives the inefficiency. When we don’t have to pay for people occupying themselves with bullshit, and more people can do the work, living sustainably comes within reach. Working the land and other essential jobs will then require shorter working weeks and bring acceptable, even though not higher, wages. After all, the standard of living will be lower because we won’t buy non-essential items. If working twenty hours per week on average is enough, and it might be, we will have plenty of time to pursue more gratifying activities. That is what Paradise might look like. It is not realistic to have a world without trade, but trade is the core problem that we face.
Government support can help. The municipality of Wörgl accepted its currency for tax payments. Complementary currencies are not a recent invention. Accepting a currency as payment for taxes, or even requiring payment in that currency, has been a way for governments to generate demand for it, allowing them to issue currency without backing it with precious metals. In England, tally-stick money circulated within the country, as it had value only there, allowing local state money to coexist alongside the merchant’s money, gold coin, insulating the nation’s economy from the whims of international trade.
In a Natural Money financial system, local governments, such as municipalities, can issue local and regional currencies backed by national currencies or by the global reserve currency (GRC), which is a debt of national governments or the world government in the International Currency Unit (ICU). In a more decentralised world with a uniform law system, nation-states aren’t the highest authority. They, however, issue debts in the ICU, so there can be national currencies based on these debts. Municipalities can issue debts in the ICU. Using them as backing for local currencies makes it challenging to maintain parity with the national currency. And so, full backing is essential.
To end usury and enable lending, you need not only trust but also efficient financial markets. Interest rates below zero can only exist when lenders expect repayment and the currency to have a stable value. In a small community, there are few lenders and borrowers, resulting in limited options. Raising capital for a new business or a mortgage in a local currency is probably impossible. And if a single business fails, a small bank can get into trouble. In larger financial markets, banks can diversify their investments.
Local monies are complementary, supplementing the regular financial system rather than replacing it. Preferably, their value stays on par with the regular currency. Only a full backing, as in Wörgl, can guarantee that. Small-scale lending and borrowing in these currencies, based on personal trust, are possible. It is not feasible to develop financial markets in them. Still, in a future where communities become increasingly self-sufficient, complementary currencies will play a more significant role than they do today.
To make it work, we should have motives beyond securing the best deal or maximising profit. So far, these other motives haven’t moved mountains. That is because only faith can. Money gives us a false sense of security. It promises us that we can buy anything we want, at any time we want. But money is not a basement full of foodstuffs or safety on the streets. Once we have ruined this planet and society falls apart, we will find out. Still, we put our faith in money. If it is not the euro, we put our faith in gold and silver rather than our communities. That is because trade and usury destroy them.
Requirements for a post-apocalyptic economy
As we could be heading for an economic apocalypse, it is a good idea to prepare, develop a vision of what the future world civilisation should look like, and see whether we can make it a reality. Without a vision to guide us, we will remain clueless victims of circumstances. Complementary currencies likely play a larger role in the future world economy than they do today. The solution needs to be global, meaning that no country can opt out. A global community-centred usury-free economy will probably need:
- A global social contract guaranteeing a fundamental equality of all humans. The ecological footprint divides us into givers and takers.
- A greater role of communities and families in the political economy, and a reduction of the role of markets and states.
- A modest lifestyle and accepting life as it is to live sustainably within the planet’s limits. We are not individuals, but an integral part of creation.
- An honest society with social trust and motives other than wealth and profit driving decisions. That also requires dealing with those who don’t fit in.
- Local governments administering and supporting complementary currencies by providing an exchange for them.
- Local initiatives, such as barter clubs and farmer-citizen initiatives utilising community currencies to strengthen the local economy.
- Discouraging long-distance trade with tariffs. Banning the use of harmful products, or taxing them, for instance, in the case of fossil fuels.
- People helping each other as the consequences of the shift will be enormous due to the massive imbalances in the global economy.
- An equal right to means of existence for everyone, which will require land reform and people migrating in search of a living.
- Limiting the right to property to our needs and what is functional in society. Existing property rights can’t stand in the way of what we must do.
Land reform may be required, but having competent farmers working the land is even more crucial. Some land reforms have failed because they were political projects that took no heed of the issue. And so the greatest caution is advised, as ill-conceived plans or poor execution may result in famines. At least in theory, everyone has the same right to land, and existing property rights shouldn’t be an obstacle. A computer system for administering complementary currencies already exists. The Dutch non-profit STRO (formerly the Strohalm Foundation) has developed Cyclos, the most widely used system for this purpose and, likely, the best. Their experience can help us to restart the world economy with local and regional initiatives on short notice.
Latest revision: 3 November 2026
Featured image: Wörgl bank note with stamps. Public Domain.
